Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000679 0.000769 0.000870 0.000993 0.001140 0.001312 0.001529
2025-02-09 0.000554 0.000675 0.000825 0.001028 0.001303 0.001671 0.002215
2025-02-16 0.000475 0.000609 0.000788 0.001053 0.001447 0.002039 0.003049
2025-02-23 0.000427 0.000570 0.000773 0.001095 0.001617 0.002490 0.004202
2025-03-02 0.000384 0.000529 0.000745 0.001106 0.001739 0.002897 0.005485
2025-03-09 0.000343 0.000485 0.000703 0.001085 0.001794 0.003202 0.006738
2025-03-16 0.000315 0.000456 0.000679 0.001088 0.001892 0.003623 0.008551
2025-03-23 0.000294 0.000434 0.000664 0.001102 0.002013 0.004140 0.011061
2025-03-30 0.000278 0.000419 0.000657 0.001129 0.002170 0.004813 0.014787
2025-04-06 0.000261 0.000400 0.000640 0.001134 0.002276 0.005406 0.019017
2025-04-13 0.000251 0.000392 0.000643 0.001178 0.002490 0.006430 0.027013
2025-04-20 0.000231 0.000365 0.000606 0.001130 0.002459 0.006663 0.031241
2025-04-27 0.000219 0.000351 0.000594 0.001141 0.002599 0.007631 0.043448
2025-05-04 0.000210 0.000342 0.000592 0.001176 0.002827 0.009140 0.067453
2025-05-11 0.000201 0.000333 0.000588 0.001203 0.003044 0.010850 0.107384
2025-05-18 0.000195 0.000328 0.000592 0.001253 0.003358 0.013420 0.198008
2025-05-25 0.000187 0.000317 0.000582 0.001267 0.003558 0.015688 0.345783
2025-06-01 0.000176 0.000301 0.000560 0.001242 0.003605 0.017111 0.533814
2025-06-08 0.000168 0.000291 0.000549 0.001245 0.003770 0.019679 1.042301
2025-06-15 0.000162 0.000284 0.000542 0.001261 0.003998 0.023259 2.645798
2025-06-22 0.000157 0.000279 0.000542 0.001294 0.004320 0.028595 11.953410
2025-06-29 0.000151 0.000270 0.000532 0.001300 0.004520 0.033377 90.872982
2025-07-06 0.000149 0.000269 0.000538 0.001353 0.004993 0.043529 NaN